日本的生活消費貴,零售價貴人所共知,張教授就在1986年發表"日本大勢已去",說見到一隻蕃茄零售五美元,一粒葡萄零售一美元,就知道他們的經濟政策有大失誤。
當時日本已是十分富裕的國家,物價貴也可以說是有點經濟基楚,但現在中國還只是發展中國家,人均收入不及美國五分一,深圳人均收入不及香港三分一,但現在居然深圳的人要過香港來買日用品,海南木瓜在香港買比在中國買要平,亦有人比較中國超市一些日常食、用品比美國超市還貴,這是不合常理,就似張教授說日本...他們的經濟政策有大失誤。
陶東的一編博文實可供參考
货币环境正常化,不能只说不做
星期四, 12月 23, 2010
星期四, 12月 16, 2010
星期一, 12月 13, 2010
炒賣也可以扭曲正確的供需訊息
每當政府推出打擊炒賣的措施,社會上就有人會抬出經濟學上炒家的功能,如炒家的價格只是反影對未來供求,可以減少市場價格的波動或給市場反影正確的供需訊息...等等。
我並非不同意炒家有一定的市場功能,但同時炒賣卻可以扭曲正確的供需訊息,歷史上的鬱金香狂潮,鬱金香的價值就被炒至三百多年後的今天也不會到價值。我是看金融經濟應該服務於實體經濟,當炒賣的需求超出或者開始扭曲實體經濟的需求時,由其是影响民生的物資,社會便要警覺而作出相應行動,我們要考慮的不是簡單的炒家功能,水能載舟,亦能覆舟。
最可笑的是一個用以上理由一直支持炒賣的專欄作家,當他自己在期貨市場輸錢時,就批評大戶操控市場,有炒家的市場也可以出現扭曲的供需訊息,大炒家是可以操控市場,他不是今天才知道吧﹗
我並非不同意炒家有一定的市場功能,但同時炒賣卻可以扭曲正確的供需訊息,歷史上的鬱金香狂潮,鬱金香的價值就被炒至三百多年後的今天也不會到價值。我是看金融經濟應該服務於實體經濟,當炒賣的需求超出或者開始扭曲實體經濟的需求時,由其是影响民生的物資,社會便要警覺而作出相應行動,我們要考慮的不是簡單的炒家功能,水能載舟,亦能覆舟。
最可笑的是一個用以上理由一直支持炒賣的專欄作家,當他自己在期貨市場輸錢時,就批評大戶操控市場,有炒家的市場也可以出現扭曲的供需訊息,大炒家是可以操控市場,他不是今天才知道吧﹗
星期四, 12月 09, 2010
Double Standard Again
That's a clip from BBC news.
The US official blamed China but not the oil company who infiltrated Nigerian ministries. Who is more "aggressive and pernicious"? Western countries used to exploid Africa's resources and are still doing so. They just don't like China compete with them for the resources so that they will need to pay more to African countries.
"A cable from February quotes a senior US official in Nigeria's main city, Lagos, describing China as "aggressive and pernicious".
US diplomatic cables from Africa also reveal claims by oil giant Shell that it infiltrated Nigerian ministries.
Wikileaks has so far released more than 1,100 of 251,000 secret US cables.
The BBC's diplomatic correspondent says the latest documents provide a fascinating insight into Washington's rivalry with Beijing in Africa.
The cable, published by the Guardian newspaper, quotes Johnnie Carson, US Assistant Secretary for African Affairs, who had been meeting oil company representatives in Lagos.
He describes China as "a very aggressive and pernicious economic competitor with no morals...."
The US official blamed China but not the oil company who infiltrated Nigerian ministries. Who is more "aggressive and pernicious"? Western countries used to exploid Africa's resources and are still doing so. They just don't like China compete with them for the resources so that they will need to pay more to African countries.
"A cable from February quotes a senior US official in Nigeria's main city, Lagos, describing China as "aggressive and pernicious".
US diplomatic cables from Africa also reveal claims by oil giant Shell that it infiltrated Nigerian ministries.
Wikileaks has so far released more than 1,100 of 251,000 secret US cables.
The BBC's diplomatic correspondent says the latest documents provide a fascinating insight into Washington's rivalry with Beijing in Africa.
The cable, published by the Guardian newspaper, quotes Johnnie Carson, US Assistant Secretary for African Affairs, who had been meeting oil company representatives in Lagos.
He describes China as "a very aggressive and pernicious economic competitor with no morals...."
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